Terry Burnham
Observations of a Biological Economist
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9/7/26
August 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Global Debt Crisis becomes Obvious The world has woken up to the problem of global mismanagement of fiscal and monetary...
8/22/26
America’s Famous 106% Debt-to-GDP Number Is Wrong
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From a historical perspective, America's current debt problem is much worse than it appears. Current debt/GDP figures are often ...
8/18/26
July 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Stocks last to get the message? Stock markets around the world are at, or close to, all-time highs . As stocks rise, government debt continu...
7/2/26
June 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Financial Fragility Stock markets around the world are at, or close to, all-time highs . I continue to believe the financial system is fra...
6/9/26
May 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Wolf! Interest rates around the world have broken out to new cycle highs (See my post " Global Stock Markets are Next to Fall " fr...
5/17/26
Global Stock Markets are Next to Fall
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Stocks: The Last to Fall The Chicken Little "sky is falling" thesis has three parts. Government fiscal and monetary policy are dis...
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5/2/26
April 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Crushed by Debt Global stock markets continue to go up almost every day. In the face of this relentless bull market, Chicken Little still ...
4/4/26
March 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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War without preparation President Trump is proposing a 50% increase in military spending for the coming year. If this budget were passed, it...
3/3/26
February 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Winter is coming In 2019 , I observed that, like the grasshopper, the US was running a huge government deficit during the salad days of low ...
2/1/26
January 2026, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Bull Market in jeopardy? Global stock markets remain the last asset class standing. US Treasury bonds have lost half their value. Bitcoin ...
1/13/26
December 2025, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Bull Market remains strong In 2025, the bull market in global equities remained powerful, while Chicken Little occasionally left his hidin...
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12/14/25
November 2025, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
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Equities: the last market standing. Global stock markets are among the last major asset classes to prosper. Bond markets globally have been ...
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