12/14/21

Chicken Little Sells Stocks (Again)

Chicken Little is short US stocks. The short was entered at Dow 35,800 and is 36% of the portfolio. The short will be covered if the Dow makes a new high. The Federal Reserve has laid the groundwork for stagflation and asset markets may be on their way down.   

Still bearish even though it has been costly

 



12/13/21

November 2021, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

In 1958, AW Phillips created the 'Phillips Curve' concept that central banks could print to create a bit more employment at the expense of a bit more inflation. Recently, central banks tried to print a lot more employment, and argued that the 'Phillips curve is not dead." - see Jerome Powell's 2018 article favoring printing. Unfortunately, the mistakes of Central Bank overprinting threaten all of us.

The Price of easy money in Venezuela