October 2025, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

AI to pay off the debt?

Can AI, and technology more broadly, make us so rich that we can pay off our massive debts without collapse? US debts and deficits are at record levels. However, if productivity accelerates, we can grow out way out of the problem. There are many anecdotal signs of efficiency gains from AI, but no sign of a productivity boom yet in statistics.

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Robots to the Fiscal Rescue? 

October 2025 Portfolio Performance

In October, the bull market pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average up another 2.58%. The Chicken Little Portfolio gained 0.36%. Through the end of October, the Dow has gained 13.03% in 2025, while the Chicken Little Portfolio has gained 0.08%. 

	Oct 2025	YTD 2025
Chicken Little	0.36%	0.08%
Dow Jones Industrials	2.58%	13.03%

October 2025 was an strong month for most asset classes around the world. Bitcoin lost 5%, while all other asset classes rose solidly in the month. Year to date, gold remains the winner with a 52.03% surge so far this year.  

Asset	Symbol	Oct 2025	YTD 2025
Dow Jones Industrials	DIA	2.58%	13.03%
Non-US Stocks	EFA	1.18%	26.98%
Emerging Market Stocks	EEM	3.53%	33.31%
US Long-Term Bonds	TLT	1.34%	6.68%
Gold	GLD	3.56%	52.03%
Bitcoin	BTC	-5.22%	14.40%

October 2025 portfolio position

Chicken Little Portfolio remains 100% in cash.  No trades in October 2025. 

Previous month's report          Subsequent Month's report

	Chicken Little	Dow Jones Industrials
2025 (through Oct)	0.08%	13.03%
2024	3.30%	14.71%
2023	2.05%	15.80%
2022	-5.88%	-7.06%
2021	5.11%	20.69%
2020	8.04%	9.27%
2019	9.03%	24.82%
2018	1.27%	-3.63%
2017	4.57%	27.72%
2016	-1.92%	16.08%
2015 (April through Dec)	-2.49%	-0.27%
since inception (3/31/15)	24.52%	227.29%