9/3/18

August 2018, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

At 25,965, the Dow is approaching its all-time high of 26,616. It will be historic if the Dow hits a new all-time high, and equally historic if the Dow fails to hit new high. 

The US stock market is about to make history 


August 2018 performance

In August 2018, the Chicken Little Portfolio gained 0.80% the Dow gained 2.42%


August 2018YTD 2018
Chicken Little0.80%-0.89%
Dow Jones Industrials2.42%6.38%

US stocks are performing differently from all of the major markets.


A few stocks in US rising, rest of world sinking 

Stocks outside the US have lost money this year, so have bonds, and gold. Cryptocurrencies have been the biggest losers in 2018.  In fact, only a minority of US stocks are rising, the rest are falling. So which assets will be correct for predicting the rest of the year and beyond? 


AssetSymbolAugust 2018YTD 2018
Dow Jones IndustrialsDIA2.42%6.38%
Non-US StocksEFA-2.19%-2.30%
Emerging Market StocksEEM-3.74%-7.77%
US Long-Term BondsTLT1.29%-2.97%
GoldGLD-2.14%-8.20%
BitcoinBTC-5.28%-43.35%

September 2018 portfolio positions

Chicken Little remains prepared for a deflationary depression by being long US Treasuries with a good amount of cash. The portfolio had no trades in the month of August 2018.






Previous month's report                           Subsequent Month's report






Chicken LittleDow Jones Industrials
2018 (through July)-0.89%6.38%
20174.57%27.72%
2016-1.92%16.08%
2015 (April through Dec)-2.49%-0.27%
since inception (3/31/15)-0.88%57.29%

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