Baby Bear Market Operations underway

Chicken Little has commenced a modest bear market action, selling the Dow Jones Industrial Average short. The Dow is at 25,250 and the all-time high is 26,951.81. So the trade risks a loss of 7%. 

Bear Market Operations have begun


May 2019, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

The Chicken Little Portfolio had its best month so far in May 2019, earning over 5% while the macroeconomic storm builds toward an economic depression. Recall that in April, Chicken Little shorted Tesla and bought crypto (click for article). These April decisions brought May flowers. Bitcoin returned 60% in May, while Tesla lost 22%. 

Are you ready THE DEPRESSION?


President Trump, Testosterone, & Trade Wars

President Trump famously said that trade wars are, 'fun and easy to win.' Research on testosterone suggests that trade wars might, indeed, be fun for President Trump and President Xi.

High Testosterone makes Fighting Fun


April 2019, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

In April 2019, Chicken Little shorted Tesla (again) and bought crypto (again) while waiting for the overall stock market to crash. Tesla has a demand problem, and the world's central banks are printing us to ruin. 
A narrow path to avoid disaster


March 2019, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

The mother of all monetary bubbles lies ahead. I predicted this outcome (click for bubble to end all bubbles), and Fed Chair Jay 'the invertebrate' Powell is now implementing the printing plan. In March of 2019, the Chicken Little Portfolio benefited from the early signs of even looser monetary policy ahead. 

Central Banks will print money until disaster hits


The Four Horsemen Will Ride Again

Have the four horsemen of the stockalypse been completely tamed? The US stock market says YES. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sits at 25,888, just below its all-time set on October 3, 2018. While the booming stock market says that the US economy is great, Chicken Little (spoiler alert) sees more pain ahead.

The US stock market is happy


February 2019, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

Can you get into fantastic physical shape by watching TV and eating pizza? Can the Wealth of a Nation (to paraphrase Adam Smith) be fostered by deficit spending and printing money? 

Adam Smith is Crying


January 2019, Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

The US Federal Reserve has promised to print as much money as necessary to support the stock market (google search 'Jay Powell invertebrate'). Chicken Little believes that monetary and fiscal madness will end in ruin.  
Chicken Little sees pain ahead


Chicken Little sells the f'in rip

Get out of your Skinner Box


December 2018 Chicken Little Portfolio Performance

On October 8, 2018, I wrote "We sit less than 2% from an all-time high in the Dow, priced for perfection on the precipice of ruin." A modest ruin followed this prescient warning, and the Chicken Little portfolio was positioned correctly to make money from the decline. 

Risk assets plummeted in late 2018


Lizard brains, dopamine, and cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies replay history


November 2018 chicken Little Portfolio Performance

Chicken Little continues to believe we are already in the midst of a deflationary depression. The day of reckoning for large government deficits and monetary mischief looms. 

Stocks for the Long Run steams into danger