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| Get out of your Skinner Box |
1/6/19
December 2018 Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
On October 8, 2018, I wrote "We sit less than 2% from an all-time high in the Dow, priced for perfection on the precipice of ruin." A modest ruin followed this prescient warning, and the Chicken Little portfolio was positioned correctly to make money from the decline.
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| Risk assets plummeted in late 2018 |
12/6/18
November 2018 chicken Little Portfolio Performance
Chicken Little continues to believe we are already in the midst of a deflationary depression. The day of reckoning for large government deficits and monetary mischief looms.
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| Stocks for the Long Run steams into danger |
11/10/18
Happy 1 month Birthday to the Four Horsemen of the Stockalypse
On October 8, 2018, I warned of the four horsemen of the stockalypse. These are each significant threats to the economy and the stock market. Just over one month since that post, all of these threats are more dangerous. Meanwhile the US stock market sails along, apparently unconcerned.
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| Storm Looms. US investors remain unconcerned. |
11/2/18
October 2018 Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
"Is this the beginning?" This was the subject line of an email that I received from Goldman, Sachs & Co. on October 10, 2018. No. It may be the end of the beginning. I responded to Goldman, "All asset markets have been going down for years except US stocks. 1: The depression started more than a decade ago. 2: Four horsemen of the stockalypse."
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| US equities fall along with global risk assets |
10/31/18
Bear raid - part 3
Chicken Little has begun two more bear market actions. A probing sale of US stocks at Dow 25,300, and a purchase of gold at $1,212/oz. This adds to the emerging market stocks bear raid begun last week. More details to come.
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| Three bear market raids in progress |
10/25/18
Bear Market Raid - part 2
Chicken Little has begun a second bear market raid. This is similar to the investments made in the first Bear Market Raid. This time by shorting emerging market stocks, entry point on the EEM at $40.30. More details to come.
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| Small Bear Action under way |
10/10/18
September 2018 Chicken Little Portfolio Performance
Recently, the Dow hit an all-time high of 26,951. At the same time, oil, copper, gold, and emerging market stocks have been in a decade-long stealth deflationary depression. The question has been how long can the Dow resist being pulled down? The answer is that the stockalypse is imminent.
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| US equities will fall |
10/8/18
Four Horsemen of the Stockalypse
On October 3, 2018, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an all-time, history of the world, high of 26,951.81. There are four, existential threats to US stocks. Let us call them the four horsemen of the stockalypse.
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| Four existential threats to the stock market |
