7/14/16

Chicken Little Buys US stocks

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new all-time highs this week. Chicken Little bought stocks to cover a small short position in US stocks. This note has three parts. 

1. Why buy stocks at Dow 18,352 after selling at a lower level?
2. Chicken Little's updated investment advice.
3. The Chicken Little road ahead.

Chicken Little is Powerless against Central Bank Money Printing

7/7/16

The Coming Monetary Bubble to End all Monetary Bubbles

Global monetary policy in the developed world is the loosest it has been since the German hyperinflation after World War I. That is, central banks in America, Europe and Japan have been printing money like mad.

Expect more Central Bank Printing of Money
I predict, moreover, that we haven’t seen anything yet; the world’s central banks are likely to vastly increase their money creation, resulting in the biggest monetary bubble ever, with perhaps $100 trillion more new money on its way into the global economy. This prediction is not specifically tied to Brexit, the U.K’s vote to leave the European Union. However, we’ll discuss Brexit below in the context of printing money.

6/30/16

Chicken Little Portfolio Performance June 2016

In June 2016, the Chicken Little Portfolio gained 4.05% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.00%.
Central Banks Print Money at Historic Pace

6/28/16

Brexit and Chicken Little


What is the impact of Brexit on Chicken Little's view of the financial world? 

Kiss Goodbye? 

The answer is Brexit changes nothing for Chicken Little. 

When you are terrified, it is hard to get more terrified. Here is a summary of Chicken Little's current thinking. 

6/13/16

Stockholm Syndrome revisited


My first article on printing money was published in 2013 on the PBS making Sen$e page.  Apparently, I have learned nothing in three years as this article still summarizes my current views.

The Original Stockholm Syndrome

6/1/16

Chicken Little Portfolio Performance May 2016

In May 2016, the Chicken Little Portfolio gained 0.25% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.38%.

5/18/16

Chicken Little's Criteria for becoming Bullish

In his 1963 essay, Sir Karl Popper writes, "the scientific status of a theory is its falsifiability, or refutability, or testability."

Sir Karl Popper 
Chicken Little's ramblings are not a scientific theory. However, in a Popperian spirit, I examine five criteria, which would make Chicken Little bullish. 

5/4/16

Chicken Little Portfolio Performance April 2016

In April 2016, the Chicken Little Portfolio lost 0.97% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.61%.

4/27/16

Federal Reserve Fools Chicken Little Again!


Can US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen Fool the Markets yet again? My guess is no, but that just shows that I am as gullible as Charlie Brown.


Janet Yellen is the Lucy of Central Bankers. 

4/13/16

Chicken Little is Sick from Volatility; remaining Vigilant


Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 17,908. This is just fractionally lower than where it closed a year ago. 

As with the proverbial duck that is calm above water while paddling furiously below, the year-over-year comparison hides incredible swings. 



Stock Market has had wild swings on the way to nowhere



4/2/16

Chicken Little Portfolio Performance March 2016


In March 2016, the Chicken Little Portfolio lost 0.47% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 7.31%.

3/30/16

Chicken Little's Investment Advice


On March 31, 2015, Chicken Little revealed his investment positions (click for Where Does Chicken Little Invest?)  On March 31, 2015 the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 17,776. As I write this, the Dow is at 17,761.  So the US stock market, as measured by the Dow, has not changed in a year. While nothing has happened in overall price, there has been a big change from a momentum investor's perspective. 

Chicken Little aims to invest like Rocky fights

What would Rocky do now? Chicken Little says keep it simple.